Direktlänk till inlägg 2 mars 2011

Prognoser skrivs upp

Av Hugo Dodfog - 2 mars 2011 11:41

Exakt var vi hamnar vet jag inte, för vi håller på med prognosarbetet. Men kanske hamnar vi nu över 4 procent i BNP-tillväxt, det skulle jag nästan gissa på, säger Mats Dillén, generaldirektör på statligaKonjunkturinstitutet (KI).

I sin konjunkturrapport i december förutspådde KI en tillväxt på 3,8 procent i år. Nästa rapport publiceras i slutet av mars.

Även regeringen gör en mer optimistisk bedömning av den ekonomiska utvecklingen. Finansminister Anders Borg (M) räknade när höstbudgeten lades fram med att BNP skulle växa med 3,7 procent 2011. Men gårdagens siffror från Statistiska centralbyrån (SCB), som visade att ekonomin expanderade med hela 7,3 procent under fjärde kvartalet i fjol, har fått honom att tänka om:

– Det här kommer säkert att påverka våra prognoser framåt, men det ska jag återkomma till i andra sammanhang, sade Borg inför riksdagens finansutskott på tisdagen.

För KI:s del är det inte BNP-statistiken som ligger bakom den mer positiva synen. Även om den var starkare än vad de flesta ekonomer räknar med så låg den helt i linje med institutets bedömning.

– Det som ger anledning till att vara lite mer optimistisk, det är snarast den statistik som har kommit in i år. Inte minst vår egen barometerundersökning, där vi ställer frågor till hushåll och företag, har sett väldigt stark ut, säger Mats Dillén och fortsätter:

– Arbetsmarknaden går också starkare än vad vi räknade med. Vi har exempelvis sett en starkare sysselsättningstillväxt hittills i år, än vad som låg i vår tidigare prognos. Och anställningsplanerna är väldigt expansiva.

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Av Hugo Dodfog - 2 mars 2011 11:43

Först och främst får vi se om jag får spela. Det är väldigt synd att Caroline Seger inte är hel än, men hela laget har spelat mycket med henne så det är ingen panik på det sättet. Nu har vi med Marie Hammarström och Lisa Dahlkvist. Therese Sjögran är...

Av Hugo Dodfog - 2 mars 2011 11:42

I Stockholmsområdet har lokaltrafiken SL länge låtit resenärerna använda mobilen för att köpa sms-biljetter. Sedan åtminstone 2008 har det också funnits olika sajter på nätet där man kan få en falsk biljett gratis. Enligt dn.se finns sedan i novemb...

Av Hugo Dodfog - 2 mars 2011 11:42

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Av Hugo Dodfog - 2 mars 2011 11:39

Det råder hård ispress i ett område mellan Nordvalen och Husum. Av säkerhetsskäl ligger alla fartyg som ska igenom detta område och väntar på bättre väder. Just nu har vinden mojnat, men i eftermiddag ska det blåsa upp rejält igen. Fram till dess hin...

Av Hugo Dodfog - 2 mars 2011 11:38

Enligt al-Arabiya har en flygplats i området intagits av Kaddafi-trogna, medan al-Jazira uppger att den närliggande staden Ajdabiya bombats av Kaddafi-plan. BBC:s utsände i staden rapporterar att en konvoj med 100 fordon med Kaddafi-lojala styrkor ...


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